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Arizona Diamondbacks Out with the old...Erubiel Durazo (tr), Rick Helling (fa), Brian Anderson (fa), Todd Stottlemyre (fa), Jay Bell (fa), Damian Miller (tr)
And in with the new...
Elmer Dessens (tr), Mike Jackson (fa), Ricky Bottalico (tr)
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Arizona Diamondbacks FBR's 2003 Fantasy Draft Package:
Projections, Rookies, Weekly In-Season Fantasy Emails!

Even though Arizona fell short of a repeat, they had enough confidence in their workhorses to bring back the bulk of their roster in '03.  Once again, however, they brought in a new arm to follow up the 1-2 punch.  With last year's experiment, Rick Helling, shown the door after the season, general manager Joe Garagiola Jr traded for former Red Elmer Dessens, who finished 6th in the NL in ERA despite just 7 wins.  Dessens will look to provide 30 starts while returnee Miguel Batista fills in behind him.  The fifth spot is up for grabs with John Patterson and last year's closer Byung-Hyun Kim battling for the job.  Kim, a former starter, finds himself without a role despite 36 saves due to the return of oft-injured Matt Mantei.  Offensively, Erubiel Durazo's value superceded his potential and Arizona dumped him on Oakland, opening the door for highly touted lefty Lyle Overbay to slide into the first base job as Mark Grace settles into the shadows.  Also gone from last year's lineup is catcher Damian Miller, who's value as a receiver was more than his bat.  The catching duties will fall to the duo of Rod Barajas and Chad Moeller, with the former taking the bulk of the ABs although neither is a long-term solution.  The only other additions will bolster the bullpen as one-time stoppers Ricky Bottalico and Mike Jackson come to the desert.

  Projected Lineup:
SS Tony Womack
3BCounsell/Williams
2BJunior Spivey
LFLuis Gonzalez
RFDanny Bautista
CFSteve Finley
1BOverbay/Grace
CRod Barajas
  Projected Rotation:
Randy Johnson
Curt Schilling
Elmer Dessens
Miguel Batista
Patterson/Kim
  Projected Bullpen:
Matt Mantei-Closer
Mike Koplove
Ricky Bottalico
Bret Prinze
Mike Jackson

Fantasy Forces:
SP-Randy Johnson (39)-
  Johnson won his fourth Cy Young in four NL seasons and became the only man besides the Big Train, Walter Johnson, to lead the majors in strikeouts 8 times.  He won't be tied long as he goes over the 4,000 mark this year.  The only thing that will slow down the Unit is his back, which gave him troubles a couple times last year.  Nearing 40, his downfall will come quick but not before vying for another Cy in '03.  
SP-Curt Schilling (36)-  Taking a backseat to the Unit, Schilling was a unanimous Cy Young runnerup while establishing a new standard for controlled power pitching.  His strikeout-walk ratio of 9.6 was the best ever while he won a career high in games.  As usual he wore down the final month and was less effective but he will assuredly be the second best pitcher in Arizona while racking up huge numbers.
LF-Luis Gonzalez (35)-  Just as quickly as Gonzo's climb to the top of the power scale came the ensuing dropoff to previous levels.  He blisters right handed pitching and is one of the game's top hitters with RISP and should lead the D'backs in most offensive categories.  Don't expect anything close to his magical '01 season however.

Better Days Ahead:
1B-Lyle Overbay (26)-
Overbay takes over the first base job from Grace and will be looking to carry his minor league success to the majors.  He has line-drive power but isn't a big homerun hitter, instead using his swing to spray balls to all parts of the field, a la John Olerud.  He is a NL ROY candidate but will likely start out in the lower portion of the lineup.
MI-Alex Cintron (24)-  Cintron was supposed to be the shortstop of the future but appears headed for a utility role at least in the near future.  He has good speed and the ability to play across the infield but will step in should Womack fail to get on base consistently. 

Past Their Prime:
1B-Mark Grace (38)-
  Never known for his power, Grace has become largely a singles hitter without the ability to drive the ball to the gaps any longer.  Wtih 2,418 hits under his belt, he will play as long as he can be productive but will primarily be a tutor to the new starter at first, Overbay.  Like Williams, this could be his curtain call.   
3B-Matt Williams (37)-
  While Williams has some of the most feared power in the game, he suffered through yet more injuries last year that kept him out of action until the break.  With Counsell challenging for the starting job, he is likely going to platoon and has seen the last of his regular duty at third.  He is in the last year of his contract and could possibly walk away after the season.

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Supporting Cast:
2B-Junior Spivey (28)-
  Spivey barely made the roster in spring training but took advantage of Jay Bell's injury and found himself in the All-Star game.  He does everything well but nothing great and is one of the top producing pivot's in the NL.  He won't likely be better than he has been so far but that will be good enough to land Spivey near the top for his position.  
P-Byung-Hyun Kim (24)-  Kim put his post-season nightmares behind him and produced a team-record 36 saves while at times being unhittable.  He is a tremendous strikeout pitcher but finds himself without a role in spring training.  With closing duties shuffled back to Matt Mantei, Kim will vye for a spot in the rotation.  Being a former starter, durability won't be a problem but he won't find much success given his shallow arsenal and lack of success the second time around a lineup.  He is likely to pitch out of whatever role he is needed that particular day.  
SS-Tony Womack (33)-
  Womack is a dangerous baserunner but seems to always be on the verge of losing his job.  With prospect Alex Cintron on the horizon, another low-.300s OBP won't cut it.  For now he is the leadoff hitter but is a risky bet as the season wears on.  
CF-Steve Finley (38)- Finley remained one of the top producers in center as he overcame another slow start to put up respectable numbers across the board.  He can be counted on to provide steady power numbers and good run production while his instincts keep him an effective baserunner at almost 40.  
SP-Elmer Dessens (31)-  Miscast as the ace of the Reds, Dessens settles into a #3 spot of which he is better suited.  He is an effective pitcher who keeps his team in the games he pitches but seldom makes it into the seventh inning, leaving him on the low end of wins despite his ability.   
SP-John Patterson (25)-  Patterson returned to the rotation for 5 starts last year after a long road back from Tommy John surgery and put up respectable numbers.  He is in a battle for the last spot in the rotation and appears to be trailing Kim in his bid to land a starting spot.  Either way he is likely to be a key component on the D'back's staff.  
SP-Miguel Batista (32)-  Batista solidified his spot in the rotation with a solid second half, including the playoffs,  and there's no reason to believe he will be anything other than his usual self.  He is reliable but throws far too many pitches and can't be relied on for anything more than he has been.
RF-Danny Bautista (30)-  Bautista was supposed to be the primary right fielder last year but missed the last four months with a shoulder injury.  Before his injury, he displayed productive power along with a .325 average, paving the way for a full-time job in '03.  
INF-Craig Counsell (32)- Though he's not a glitzy producer, Counsell continues to gel a career out of his hustling approach and is battling for playing time with Matt Williams.  No matter how many starts he gets, his versatility will keep him in the lineup.

Risky Business:
CL-Matt Mantei (29)-
  Mantei has battled injuries the last few years of his career but is healthy and back in the closer role.  He will pitch minimal innings but has huge save potential assuming he can make it through the season injury free.  Considering his time on the sidelines, he will come cheap in most leagues.
C-Rod Barajas (27)-
  After a stellar second-half as the backup to Miller, Barajas finds himself carrying the bulk of the load at backstop and will hit in the eighth spot.  He has periodical power but won't provide any offensive miracles.

The Final Cut:
If the Diamondbacks are going to win it again, now is the time.  No less than 11 of their top players are on the wrong side of 30 while their top two hitters and pitchers are approaching 40.  Although they haven't shown any signs of wearing down yet, it won't take long once the ball starts rolling.  Even the replacements like Spivey and Overbay are not as young as most players with their experience.  Nonetheless, any team with the Unit and Schill at the top is the team to beat and '03 will be no different.  The only team that has a shot to supplant the D'backs in the NL West is San Francisco and a wild card is likely should they not win their third straight division title.

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