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Seattle Mariners Out with the old...Lou Pinella, James Baldwin (fa), Ismael Valdes (fa), Paul Abbott (wa), John Halama (fa), Desi Relaford (fa), Ruben Sierra (fa)
And in with the new...Bob Melvin, Randy Winn (com), John Mabry (fa), Jamey Wright (fa), Steve Kent
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Seattle Mariners FBR's 2003 Fantasy Draft Package:
Exclusive Manual 2003 Projections

Unit, Junior, Arod and now Sweet Lou.  While getting Randy Winn as compensation will surely help the Mariners, replacing Pinella's feisty approach and motivational skills will be sorely missed.  Replacing Pinella is rookie skipper Bob Melvin, the former Giants catcher who won a World Series as a member of the D'backs' coaching staff.  Winn's presence gives the Mariners the top fielding outfield in baseball while infusing the biggest dose of speed into the lineup the M's have ever seen.  Slated to hit behind Ichiro, Winn's speed will attempt to offset the lack of a true power hitter, something which Lou had become adept at doing.  The rest of the lineup remains intact, although it is expected Dan Wilson will give way as Ben Davis grabs a larger chunk of the backstop role.  The rotation will feature three workhorses who function off guile instead of power, with each winning at least 13 games in '02.  While the lion's share of the rotation is cemented, the back half will be centered around both a battle for time and questions in regards to health and reliability.  One time ace-in-the-making Gil Meche is touted as being healthy following a long absence while Ryan Franklin and Rafael Soriano both seek a bigger piece of the pie, although both lack experience as a big league starter, albeit for different reasons.

  Projected Lineup:
RF Ichiro Suzuki
LFRandy Winn
2BBret Boone
DHEdgar Martinez
1BJohn Olerud
CFMike Cameron
3BJeff Cirillo
CDavis/Wilson
SSCarlos Guillen
  Projected Rotation:
Freddy Garcia
Jamie Moyer
Joel Pineiro
Ryan Franklin
Meche/Soriano
  Projected Bullpen:
Kazuhisa Sasaki-Closer
Arthur Rhodes
Jeff Nelson
Shigetoshi Hasegawa
Steve Kent

Fantasy Forces:
2B-Bret Boone (33)
-  Boone put up perhaps the best season ever by a pivot two years ago and although he settled back closer to reality in '02, he was still one of the league's top producers.  It's unlikely he will ever have another '01, but adjustments in his swing will allow him to continue putting up high quality numbers.
SP-Freddy Garcia (26)- From Opening Day '01 thru last year's All-Star break, the crafty ace won 29 games but watched it all slip away as he struggled to gain command of the strikezone.  With a large workload over that same span, the Mariners are hoping he simply ran out of gas.  Watching the same pitches get jacked that had previously baffled the hitters, he should get back to business as usual with another year under his belt.  
SP-Jamie Moyer (40)-
  Moyer got to Seattle as a 9½ year veteran with 66 wins.  In the 6½ years since he got to Seattle he has won 98, establishing himself as one of the game's top winners on a year to year basis.  With a pedestrian arsenal, he lulls hitters into repeatedly swinging at pitches off the plate, resulting in weak grounders.  Given his repertoire, he will be effective as long as he continues to pitch.  
SP-Joel Pineiro (24)-  Pineiro fits in the mold of Garcia, using a low-90s fastball while mixing in a variety of offspeed pitches, although he has much better control.  Pineiro began the season in the bullpen but quickly moved to the rotation where he was arguably the Mariners most consistent pitcher.  Throwing 100 innings the first half, he wore down in the latter days but will be a force from in the middle of the rotation in '03.
CL-Kazuhisa Sasaki (35)-  Sasaki, the '00 ROY, was once again dominating the late innings before a bum elbow led to a big falloff the final month.  He underwent offseason surgery to remove a bone chip and should be back to form this year.  With 119 saves in 3 years, he has passed up Mariano Rivera as the AL's top closer.   
RF-Ichiro Suzuki (29)-  It's not often a player can rack up a .321 average and 208 hits and still see a dip in production but Ichiro did while at the same time looking almost human after the break.  Though he has double digit homerun potential, he seemed to try for the fences more often, taking speed, his biggest asset, out of his game.  Don't fret, consider it a sophomore slump and he will be back to his '01 ROY production again in '03.   
LF-Randy Winn (28)-  Coming off a bust out campaign in Tampa Bay, Winn comes over as compensation for Lou Pinella and will give the Mariners the league's fastest outfielder while a shift to left will suit Winn's defensive needs very adeptly.  With Ichiro in front of him, there's no reason to believe he can't duplicate last year's numbers and potentially do much more.

Better Days Ahead:
SP-Rafael Soriano (23)-
  After determining he wasn't going to be a big leaguer as an outfielder, Soriano converted to pitching and is on the cusp of putting his name in the rotation.  He has good command and the potential to dominate but also falls into bouts of inconsistency, which is likely a result of his inexperience.  He will vie for the last spot in the rotation but will likely see time in the pen as well.

Supporting Cast:
CF-Mike Cameron (30)-
Cameron made his mark with a four-bomb effort on May 2 and was Seattle's leading homerun hitter with a meager 25.  While the sure-handed center fielder has steady power capabilities, his biggest asset is his speed.  He swings big and often and will post another low average in pitcher-friendly Safeco.
C-Ben Davis (26)-  The switch-hitter continued to wait patiently for more playing time and his second half likely assured him of that this season.  He has good power potential and can develop into a yearly .280 hitter and is very dangerous behind the plate.  He should get to play 3-4 games a week.  
SS-Carlos Guillen (27)-  Long touted as the shortstop of the future, Guillen once again failed to establish himself as a potential everyday player.  Overcome by nagging injuries the past couple years, he showed flashes of his potential before the break before wearing down to a dismal second half.  He is still the prime option at short but should be over the honeymoon.  This season will make or break Guillen's future in Seattle. 
1B-John Olerud (34)-  Like Moyer and Martinez, Olerud goes about his business out of the spotlight but in the end is as steady as anyone.  He has a great eye and can put nearly any pitch in play and you can pencil him in for .300/20/100 every year.
RP-Arthur Rhodes (33)-  Once misplaced as a starter, Rhodes has become the majors' dominant force against lefties while becoming most valuable non-closer in the game out of the bullpen.  Though he won't get any saves unless Sasaki goes down, he will again get prime win totals and a magnificent WHIP.

Risky Business:
3B-Jeff Cirillo (33)-
  Though no one expected Cirillo to duplicate his Coors' production, the Mariners surely expected more than they got when he dropped from 2nd to 9th in the order.  The career .304 hitter hit a nadir in '02 as he struggled to find the approach he had in Milwaukee.  Though his troubles last year cannot be simply put on Coors, it's unlikely Cirillo will regain his former stroke although he should be a steady slapper from the 2nd or 7th spot.  
SP-Ryan Franklin (30)-  After coming out of the pen for two years with the Ms, Franklin got the opportunity to start and was effective enough to all but give him a starting spot this year.  With the presence of Meche and Soriano, his stay in the rotation may be a short one.  
SP-Gil Meche (24)-  Meche made his debut as a brash 20 year old in '99 and was on the rise in '00 before rotator cuff surgery knocked him out for the past two full seasons.  He is now trying to make his way back and is a favorite to land a spot in the rotation although arm strength is a big issue.  He will get better as the season wears but is unlikely to see a full-time role in the rotation or pen.

Past Their Prime:
DH-Edgar Martinez (40)-
  Back for more, it is apparent the professional hitter is on the downside of a solidly consistent career.  Injuries continue to hound the career .317 hitter and he failed to hit .300 and 20 homeruns for the first time since '94.  Although he can still get the job done when playing, he will see more and more days off and is likely taking his final hacks.

The Final Cut:
Were the Mariners not playing in the same division as Oakland and Anaheim, they would be a clear favorite to land in the post-season.  Be that as it may, a mere good season won't cut it.  They have as much speed as anyone and boast the fastest outfield in the game.  While consistent in the top half of the lineup, the back half could become a sore spot if Cirllo and Guillen fail to find their old swings.  The trio of workhorses rotation will make life on the bullpen that much easier, although the questions surrounding Meche, Franklin and Soriano could create a repeat of last year's shortcomings.  The bullpen will benefit from a return to health of Jeff Nelson and Sasaki, both of whom are among the top at their position, and is extremely apt at slamming the door shut.  With all the tools in place, if the Mariners can avoid injuries and see a return to form after last year's disappointments they will be tough to beat but are likely the third best team in the division.

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